Estimation of semivarying coefficient time series models with ARMA errors
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Estimation on semivarying coefficient models with different degrees of smoothness
Abstract Semivarying coefficient models are frequently used in statistical models. In this paper, under the condition that the coefficient functions possess different degrees of smoothness, a two-step method is proposed. In the case, one-step method for the smoother coefficient functions cannot be optimal. This drawback can be repaired by using the two-step estimation procedure. The asymptotic ...
متن کاملARMA Time-Series Modeling with Graphical Models
We express the classic ARMA time-series model as a directed graphical model. In doing so, we find that the deterministic relationships in the model make it effectively impossible to use the EM algorithm for learning model parameters. To remedy this problem, we replace the deterministic relationships with Gaussian distributions having a small variance, yielding the stochastic ARMA (σARMA) model....
متن کاملEvolving Time Series Forecasting ARMA Models
Time Series Forecasting (TSF) allows the modeling of complex systems as “black-boxes”, being a focus of attention in several research arenas such as Operational Research, Statistics or Computer Science. Alternative TSF approaches emerged from the Artificial Intelligence arena, where optimization algorithms inspired on natural selection processes, such as Evolutionary Algorithms (EAs), are popul...
متن کاملAnalysis of ecological time series with ARMA(p,q) models.
Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are useful statistical tools to examine the dynamical characteristics of ecological time-series data. Here, we illustrate the utility and challenges of applying ARMA (p,q) models, where p is the dimension of the autoregressive component of the model, and q is the dimension of the moving average component. We focus on parameter estimation and model sel...
متن کاملGeneralized ARMA models with martingale difference errors
The analysis of non-Gaussian time series has been studied extensively and has many applications. Many successful models can be viewed as special cases or variations of the generalized autoregressive moving average (GARMA) models of Benjamin et al. (2003), where a link function similar to that used in generalized linear models is introduced and the conditional mean, under the link function, assu...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: The Annals of Statistics
سال: 2016
ISSN: 0090-5364
DOI: 10.1214/15-aos1430